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March 30, 2006

Well, that's not so bad then...

More earthquake news!

The latest study on the potential impact of a major earthquake in Tokyo estimates 5,600 people would die in a 7.3 magnitude quake. This estimate, from the Tokyo Metropolitan government, is less than the 13,000 fatalities forecast by the central government.

Of course, a healthy dose of skepticism is probably required as the new lower estimate has been published even though we know now that some supposedly earthquake-resistant buildings have not been built to code. And the expected fatalities is less than the number that died in tiny Kobe when that city was hit in 1996.

The study also estimates 9,500 of the 14,500 high-rise elevators would be out of commission. Only 9,500??? Probably the last place I would want to be after an earthquake is geting into an elevator anyway, but I am lad to know that the option will be there.

Posted by Kirk on March 30, 2006 02:37 PM